Garrett Gauruder

OutcomeEdge - Find mispriced odds in prediction markets

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OutcomeEdge helps prediction market traders identify mispriced odds on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi. Instead of hype or “signals,” OutcomeEdge compares market prices to data-driven probability models, highlighting where the market may be over- or under-estimating outcomes. Designed as a decision-support tool, not a trading bot- helping users filter bad trades, spot asymmetric opportunities, and understand risk before committing capital.

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Garrett Gauruder
Built OutcomeEdge after trading weather markets on Polymarket and Kalshi and noticing how often prices were driven by headlines or gut feel rather than data. Weather markets feel objective, but uncertainty and mispricing are common. OutcomeEdge puts weather models and market odds side-by-side to help traders understand risk, avoid bad bets, and occasionally spot asymmetric opportunities. It’s decision support — not signals or a bot.