Mondael
Institutional intelligence for prediction markets.
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Mondael - Institutional intelligence for prediction markets.

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Prediction markets are becoming a real-time signal for what the world thinks will happen next. Mondael helps make that signal usable — tracking odds, liquidity, volume, market flow, and related asset moves across geopolitics, elections, macro, finance, energy, and technology. Use Mondael to turn prediction markets into useful intelligence.

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Maker
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We were inspired to build Mondael, because we felt like there is incredible data on Polymarket about geopolitics, elections, and science, but that the websites were hard to use, and mixing it with uninteresting sports betting, and other topics. Mondael is our attempt to make that signal clearer. With a background in statistics, machine learning, and public policy, we are building an intelligence layer that helps users understand what markets are predicting, how those predictions are moving, and what the data says beneath the surface. Let's help people make more informed decisions about the world with more facts, better probabilities, and less punditry.

How does Mondael pull in the data from the underlying prediction markets, is it through official APIs or are you scraping the order books yourself? And how do you handle the noise from low liquidity markets when surfacing signals?

Maker

 Great questions.

  1. We pull through the official APIs, there is a lot there.

  2. Interesting markets (i.e non-sports) are around 10% of volume on polymarket. So most of the ones we follow are low liquidity! However there are highly liquid “ecosystems” like around strait of Hormuz, elections, rates, pandemics, and we leave it up to users to decide what they pay attention to. We try to get everything into our system.