Augur: You think you predict well. Prove it.

Hey Product Hunt 👋 I make geopolitical and market predictions regularly. The problem — I was lying to myself. I remembered every hit and forgot every miss. My gut felt more accurate than it actually was. So I built Augur. Log any prediction. Set a deadline. Pick your confidence level. When the deadline hits — score it honestly. Hit or Miss. 30 days of tracking was uncomfortable. My high-confidence calls weren't meaningfully more accurate than my low-confidence ones. The data humbled me. Everyone is talking about AI making predictions. Augur answers a completely different question — are YOUR predictions actually good? Built for analysts, investors, and independent thinkers. Not for people who follow signals. For people who make their own calls. $29 one-time. No subscription. Honest brutal feedback welcome — that's exactly why I built this.