Launching today
Eroteme
Share your analysis. Forecast what happens next.
5 followers
Share your analysis. Forecast what happens next.
5 followers
Eroteme is a social forecasting platform where people explore real-world questions, publish what they think will happen and explain why. Unlike simple polls, every forecast records the user’s confidence and is checked when the outcome resolves, creating a measurable track record over time. Users can follow forecasters, discuss their analysis, compete on leaderboards and use Eroteme AI for deeper research before publishing their own view.
I’m William, the founder and developer of Eroteme.
I built Eroteme because people make predictions every day across sport, politics, technology, finance and entertainment, but their reasoning is often lost and their accuracy is rarely measured.
Eroteme gives people a place to choose an outcome, record their confidence, explain their reasoning and build a public forecasting track record as questions resolve.
Human judgement is at the centre of the platform. Eroteme AI is an optional research tool that brings together independent perspectives from Claude, GPT, Gemini and Grok, helping users examine a question before making their own forecast.
Users can also follow forecasters, compare different viewpoints, join discussions and subscribe to established forecasters for access to their deeper analysis.
Eroteme is available on iOS, Android and the web. I’ve built it independently, so reaching this launch is a significant milestone for me.
I’d genuinely appreciate your feedback, particularly on the forecasting experience, public profiles and the types of questions you would like to see added.
When deciding whether to trust someone’s forecast, what matters most to you: their reasoning, confidence or track record?
Thank you for taking a look. I’m happy to answer any questions.