Prospect

Prospect was inspired by my job search in 2018, when I used what I learned as a VC at Khosla Ventures to join Rippling before its Series A. Our data scientist Ben built Opendoor's first consumer-facing pricing model. We have built and backtested a predictive model that considers a wide range of inputs, including fundraising and valuation data, investor quality, growth metrics like revenue and revenue growth, founder and employee backgrounds, and more. We purchase data from the same vendors top VCs use (including Pitchbook and headcount data brokers), pull traction metrics from press articles, and in some cases get traction metrics directly from the companies themselves. We have also validated the model’s outputs by surveying top investors and operators in these industries. We have evaluated every company in the US that has raised from a top 500 VC and distilled our list to the top 2%. Our predictive model produces a range of outcomes for each company’s growth over the next four years. To simplify things for job seekers and to avoid false precision, we have grouped companies into 4 tiers: 2X, 3X, 5X, and 10X. We expect a 3X rated company will be worth triple its current value in four years. No one–not even the best investors–can tell you exactly what will happen in four years. But we can take a systematic approach that drastically improves your odds. You can take a few swings and get a hit that will dramatically accelerate your career development and earnings.

Congrats on the launch, @gallagherbilly! Definitely wish I had a tool like this earlier in my career.

Super excited to see this launch!! I’ve wanted a product like this for years — always find myself banging my head against Crunchbase and scraping together ideas from Twitter. Awesome job guys 🙌

See this is a great concept – going from a bunch of subjective and objective measures of a startup to basically a score of "whether I would like it here and it'll be successful". I'm definitely going to look into this, just thinking about how much I look into startups and evaluating opportunities. Curious to hear how you measure founder market fit (which is pretty big into company success IMO). Also, employees can only have 1 egg in their basket compared to an investor who can have many. Thinking like an investor is important, but should definitely be more so thinking about it as an investor but only being able to choose one company. Exciting stuff!