Hey Product Hunt! Ever followed a Polymarket "whale" only to realize they were just a lucky gambler? I built FlukeWatch because ranking traders purely by P&L is mostly noise. A guy who wins one massive coinflip shouldn't share a leaderboard with a calibrated forecaster. FlukeWatch changes the game by ranking whales by their calibration score (how often their confidence matches reality). The best part? It makes it incredibly easy to spot the confident-but-wrong whales you should be fading. The setup: Real-time tracking: Live feed of every $10k+ Polymarket trade. Smarter profiles: Whale profiles built on calibration, alongside analytics for Politics, Crypto, Sports, and more. Alerts & Signals: Custom watchlists with Telegram alerts, plus trade advice signals on the live feed. You can hop in on the free Scout tier for the live feed and leaderboards, or upgrade to the Tracker tier for alerts and signals. Under the hood, it's powered by a Rust ingestion service hitting Polymarket's Data API and a Python scoring engine, all piped through WebSockets for real-time speed. I'd love to hear your thoughts and feedback. Happy to answer any questions below! — Sergey

FlukeWatch

Polymarket whale tracker that ranks by calibration, not luck

Polymarket whale tracker that ranks by calibration, not luck