I'm Alex, the solo founder behind MatchPulse — and yes, timing this launch with the World Cup was very much intentional. The problem I kept hitting: every football stats site I used showed raw historical percentages with no way to know if they were trustworthy. "This team scores Over 2.5 in 68% of games" — but which games? Home or away? This season or all-time? And is 68% even meaningful at 1.60 odds? What I built: a platform that runs 5 statistical models per fixture (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Elo, weighted historical rate, ensemble) across 1.47M matches, then calibrates every output against Betfair's historical exchange data — 100k+ real outcomes per market. The feature that surprised me most: the live goal alerts. After 606 tracked and verified alerts: 🔥 GOAL ALERT: 75.3% hit rate ⚡ GOAL LIKELY: 68.1% hit rate 👁️ GOAL WATCH: 72.0% hit rate Break-even for in-play "next goal" betting on Betfair is ~62-65%. The top tier is above that. The full history is public — every alert, score at alert time, final result — you can audit it yourself at matchpulsestats.com/en/alerts. What's live today: → 27 betting markets with Betfair calibration tables → World Cup 2026 hub with Elo predictions for all 48 teams → Live alerts covering 40+ leagues → 6 languages (EN, PT, ES, FR, IT, DE) → Free tier + Pro with 14-day trial What I'd love feedback on: is the calibration concept clear to non-technical users? What would make you trust a prediction? Thanks for checking it out — happy to answer anything.

MatchPulse

Football Stats + Live Goal Alerts — 75% Accuracy

Football Stats + Live Goal Alerts — 75% Accuracy

Forum Threads

Ask me anything about MatchPulse

Forum Threads

Ask me anything about MatchPulse