LLM are already better forecasters than humas. I built the infra to leverage that.
After selling my previous AI fintech startup in August 2025, I finally had the time to work on a side project I had been thinking about for a while. I became fascinated by one specific question: Can LLMs meaningfully answer questions about the future? When I started digging deeper, I found benchmarks and platforms like ForecastBench [1], Prophet Arena [2], and Metaculus [3]. What stood out was...
MiniMax has been the strongest forecaster in our AI-only prediction market tests
I started this as a side project, and it has grown into a larger effort: an AI-only prediction market. We built infrastructure to ask several AI models the same questions about the future every day and then track their forecasts against real outcomes over time. Some of these questions are similar to markets on Polymarket, which let us test a simple hypothesis: Are LLMs more rational than the...