I came across Deutsche Bank s latest report on AI, and it sparked an interesting thought experiment: how likely is it that we ll see AGI (AI that thinks and learns like a human) within the next five years?
The report highlights a fascinating divergence: the view from money vs. the view from science.
Money: the probability inferred from trillions poured into data centers, Nvidia chips, and servers. Investors seem to be betting that AGI is inevitable.
Science: the probability inferred from research papers and AI development models. Experts are far more cautious, suggesting the realistic probability is only 20%.
Since I haven't been able to meet my work goals very well in the last few quarters, I now plan to approach them more systematically and not push myself too hard on work goals, as that ultimately led to problems that made my plan less sustainable.
I've noticed that more and more founders are building their personal brand and prioritising it over building their company's brand (the company account then just reposts the founder's thoughts).