SettleRisk quantifies how likely a prediction market contract is to face disputes, delays, or frozen capital. Get a 0–100 risk score, explainable drivers, dispute-adjusted pricing, and settlement delay estimates — all from one API call. Supports Polymarket & Kalshi.
Hey Product Hunt! I'm Phil, the founder of SettleRisk.
I built SettleRisk because I kept losing money to prediction market disputes. I'd take positions that looked great on paper, only to have my capital frozen for weeks when resolution got contested.
The problem is real: over $12.4M was locked in disputes across major platforms in 2024-2025. The average HIGH-risk dispute takes 21 days to resolve, and 73% stem from ambiguous contract wording.
SettleRisk is a B2B API that scores every prediction market contract on a 0–100 risk scale, then tells you *why* it's risky — using a 15-driver taxonomy that covers everything from ambiguous wording to single oracle dependency to temporal ambiguity. But scoring alone isn't enough for traders, so we also output dispute-adjusted pricing: risk premium, capital lockup cost, and fair spread in basis points.
The scoring engine is fully deterministic — same inputs always produce identical outputs. We built it in Rust for sub-5ms latency because market makers need this in their execution pipeline, not on a dashboard.
You can try it right now at https://settlerisk.com/demo — no signup required.
What we'd love feedback on:
- Which risk drivers matter most to you?
- Are there platforms beyond Polymarket and Kalshi you'd want us to support?
- Would you use this as a standalone API or integrated into an existing tool?
Thanks for checking us out!
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