Buying mystery card packs used to be a pure gamble. Not anymore. PullValue calculates the real-time Expected Value (EV) of Courtyard.io packs by processing live pulls and market data 24/7. Stop guessing what's inside. See the actual win rate, average return, and data-backed "Buy/Avoid" verdicts before you spend a dime. Whether you're chasing Pokémon grails or flipping sports cards, we give you the data edge to hunt profitably. Build your collection smarter.
This is the 2nd launch from PullValue.io. View more
PullValue
Launching today
Know what a pack is worth before you rip it
Expected-value tracker for Courtyard mystery packs: live EV, observed odds and hit rates from ~10,000 recorded pulls.
It tells you when not to buy. A pack with three pulls can show a spectacular EV ratio precisely because it has three. So every pack must clear a gate — 30+ pulls, fresh data, 70+ data quality — before it can carry a buy call. The budget tool can recommend holding cash.
No resale estimates, no AI-generated metrics. Every formula published.
Next.js, TypeScript, Supabase.
PullValue.ioThe ultimate EV tracker for Courtyard.io packs.
Launched on March 25th, 2026
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Maker
📌
Hey Product Hunt 👋
I built PullValue because pack trackers have a structural problem: they always have a recommendation.
Every day there's a "best pack." But that isn't how data works. A pack with three recorded pulls can show a spectacular EV ratio precisely because it has three pulls — one lucky card carries the average. Rank that as an opportunity and you've pointed someone at the worst-evidenced thing you track.
That actually happened here. Early on, my own homepage headlined a pack as "GREAT VALUE" at 1.87x. It had one recorded pull, and the data was 23 days old. The pack's own page correctly said NO DATA — the homepage just never asked.
So I rebuilt the whole thing around one gate. A pack needs 30+ indexed pulls, fresh data, and a 70+ data-quality score before it can carry a buy call. Everything else is labelled an early read or excluded outright. Today that's 19 of 116 packs.
The part I'm most pleased with is the budget tool. Put in $250 and if nothing has a positive expected return, it tells you to hold the cash. Unspent money returns exactly zero, and zero beats every negative — a tool that can't recommend inaction will always recommend action.
It also publishes what it can't do: no resale values, no liquidity scores, no AI-generated numbers. Every formula is public.
Curious what people think about the tradeoff — is a tool that often says "nothing qualifies today" useful, or just frustrating? I've had that argument with myself a lot.
Free to check. Happy to answer anything about the methodology.