Polycule News turns prediction markets into a news feed. You get headlines about what happens next, each with a live probability priced by the conviction of the crowd. Read the feed to see what the world expects. When you agree or disagree with a headline, swipe left or right on it.
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Maker
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Hi all, Polycule team here.
News is a lagging indicator. Prediction markets contain really good information about the future, but the interfaces are built for traders.
This is why we built Polycule News. Each card is a headline about an event that hasn't happened yet, with the date, the details, and a probability underneath. You don't have to do anything with it. Reading the feed for five minutes tells you what the world currently expects from the week ahead, which is more than most news apps can say.
If something is confusing or broken, comment here and we'll fix it or explain it.
Ask us anything.
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the framing "headlines from the future" makes me a little nervous, a probability from a thin market with low volume is a very different kind of confidence than an actual headline, and the news-feed format visually flattens that distinction. does the card surface volume/liquidity prominently enough that someone scrolling fast can tell a well-traded 80% from an 80% that's three people and a rumor
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Maker
@galdayan Hi Gal, this is a good question, and the answer is yes! Volumes are displayed on each market along with the odds. Do check out the app, and let us know if you have any further questions
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@polyculenews good to know it's there, but that wasn't quite my question. I meant prominence, not presence - is the volume number the same size/weight as the probability, or is it small print someone has to look for. if the probability is the big bold number and volume is secondary text, most people will still anchor on the 80% and skip past what's backing it, even though the data exists
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Maker
@galdayan This is relevant feedback, and we will take it into consideration with the product. Thank you for engaging.
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Sounds interesting. How much context does a card give before I decide whether to tap through or trade?
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Maker
@sheldon_cooper14 Hi Sheldon, the card gives you a lot of additional context to the story behind the news, it give you probabilities, the market volumes and resolution dates.
Hope you will try out the app, and let us know if you find it helpful
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Can I use this mostly as a read-only feed? I’d probably follow AI, tech, and geopolitics
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Maker
@sanskar_lunawat Hi Sanskar, yes! You can use this like you use any other news app. You can choose your favourite topics on the sign-in screen, and get a curated feed that gets even better as you interact more with it.
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Do you show why the odds moved in a market? A market going from 23% to 41% is interesting, but the thing I’d want is the headline or event that caused the move.
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Maker
@kaka_ji3 Hi Kaka ji, the thing is markets can often move without a public headline or event causing it. Polycule News is interesting because it captures all of the private information moving through Polymarket, and gives you realtime headlines with odds.
the framing "headlines from the future" makes me a little nervous, a probability from a thin market with low volume is a very different kind of confidence than an actual headline, and the news-feed format visually flattens that distinction. does the card surface volume/liquidity prominently enough that someone scrolling fast can tell a well-traded 80% from an 80% that's three people and a rumor
@galdayan Hi Gal, this is a good question, and the answer is yes! Volumes are displayed on each market along with the odds. Do check out the app, and let us know if you have any further questions
@polyculenews good to know it's there, but that wasn't quite my question. I meant prominence, not presence - is the volume number the same size/weight as the probability, or is it small print someone has to look for. if the probability is the big bold number and volume is secondary text, most people will still anchor on the 80% and skip past what's backing it, even though the data exists
@galdayan This is relevant feedback, and we will take it into consideration with the product. Thank you for engaging.
Sounds interesting. How much context does a card give before I decide whether to tap through or trade?
@sheldon_cooper14 Hi Sheldon, the card gives you a lot of additional context to the story behind the news, it give you probabilities, the market volumes and resolution dates.
Hope you will try out the app, and let us know if you find it helpful
Can I use this mostly as a read-only feed? I’d probably follow AI, tech, and geopolitics
@sanskar_lunawat Hi Sanskar, yes! You can use this like you use any other news app. You can choose your favourite topics on the sign-in screen, and get a curated feed that gets even better as you interact more with it.
Do you show why the odds moved in a market? A market going from 23% to 41% is interesting, but the thing I’d want is the headline or event that caused the move.
@kaka_ji3 Hi Kaka ji, the thing is markets can often move without a public headline or event causing it. Polycule News is interesting because it captures all of the private information moving through Polymarket, and gives you realtime headlines with odds.
Let us know if any more questions
@Polycule News @polyculenews Are you pulling in every market, or do you filter?
@syed_mehran Hi Syed, you can see some of the filters on the homepage. Our ultimate goal is to give you a fully curated news experience.
Really nice UX, can't lie. I would love a filter functionality too.
@vedant_sanodiya Hi Vedant, happy you liked it. Let us know if you have any additional comments!