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Plural Vote 📈left a comment
Hey Product Hunt! Our model depends on polls and search trends to predict vote outcomes. Past polling error informs our modelling of the uncertainty of our predictions. We model the probabilities using the beta, weibull, and logistic distributions. The Senate seat composition and probability is estimated using 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Polls prove predictive even early on in the Senate...
Plural Vote - 2020 Senate forecastBe up-to-date with a model based on polls and search trends
Plural Vote is an independent, non-partisan, data-driven news site. We statistically analyze elections, current events, policy decisions, and legislation in order to get to the bottom of important issues. One of our models is for the 2020 Senate race.
Plural Vote - 2020 Senate forecastBe up-to-date with a model based on polls and search trends
Plural Vote 📈left a comment
Hey Product Hunt! I would more than appreciate any feedback regarding this statistical forecast. Our model depends on polls to predict vote outcomes. Past polling error informs our modelling of the uncertainty of our predictions. We model the probabilities using the beta, weibull, and logistic distributions. The Electoral College vote and probability is estimated using 20,000 Monte Carlo...
Plural Vote - 2020 Presidential ForecastStay up-to-date with the state of the race via polls & data
Plural Vote is an independent, non-partisan, data-driven news site. We statistically analyze elections, current events, policy decisions, and legislation in order to get to the bottom of important issues. One of our models is for the 2020 presidential race.
Plural Vote - 2020 Presidential ForecastStay up-to-date with the state of the race via polls & data