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Prediction markets like Polymarket and kalshi have exploded w/ billions in volume and taken the world by storm. With tradfi backing by ICE/NYSE, Bloomberg integration & other institutional recognition, prediction markets aren't going anywhere. But when hedge funds and tech giants throw endless cash and genius-level code to manipulate the algorithms, the indie trading bot dev doesn't stand a...
24castsPrediction Market Intelligence API
Our model simulates prediction market probabilities as a jump diffusion process blending gradual drifts from market consensus, sudden jumps from breaking news, and time decay toward resolution, then layers in AI-driven priors, liquidity adjustments, and regime-specific risks to pinpoint fair values, edges, and optimal position sizing, turning noisy event contracts into probabilistic alpha.
24castsPrediction Market Intelligence API