BondStats

https://www.bondstats.org

9 followers

https://www.bondstats.org

9 followers

BondStats is a platform for exploring global government bond markets. Track 10-year government bond yields across major economies, analyze yield curves, and use tools like the Real Yield Calculator. The platform also provides educational resources explaining key bond market concepts such as yield curves, sovereign risk, and safe haven assets.

This is the 10th launch from BondStats. View more

BondStats CFE-01

Launched this week

Reconstruct the market move — then measure what remains.

BondStats CFE-01 is a counterfactual market reconstruction engine for fixed-income analysis. Instead of simply displaying what markets did, CFE-01 estimates the market move implied by observable financial drivers across multiple model horizons and compares that reconstruction with reality. The difference becomes a Residual Vector.

Free

Launch tags:Fintech•Investing•Money

Launch Team

Maker

📌

I built CFE-01 around a question that kept bothering us: how much of a market move can actually be reconstructed from the financial conditions surrounding it? Most market tools stop at what happened. CFE-01 builds a counterfactual market state from multiple model horizons, compares it with the observed move, and isolates the residual that remains. From there, you can examine driver ablation, structural novelty, historical residual behavior, uncertainty, and potential unknown-driver candidates. An important distinction: the residual is not automatically “mispricing,” fair value, or a forecast. It is simply the part of the observed move the reconstruction did not capture. We also wanted this to feel like an actual research instrument rather than another financial dashboard, so the interface was designed specifically around the reconstruction process. Decompose. Reconstruct. Understand. I’d especially love feedback on what you would want to investigate next with a counterfactual engine.

Report

5d ago

Previous BondStats Launches

Singapore Sovereign Funding MachineSee what Singapore’s government debt actually does

Launched on September 25th, 2026

BondStats Market Mechanism ExplorerExplore the transmission machinery behind markets

Launched on September 24th, 2026

BondStats Pressure VaultSee what sovereign yields may be missing

Launched on September 23rd, 2026

BondStats Capital MigrationTest the Singapore–Hong Kong capital shift with data

Launched on September 19th, 2026

View all BondStats launches