Aphma
Social prediction markets, built around your friends
11 followers
Social prediction markets, built around your friends
11 followers
Aphma turns a sentence into a prediction market with AI. Create public markets or private circles for friends, explore crypto and real-world events in a swipeable social feed, and follow transparent odds and resolution rules in one place.


One use case we care about is the question that starts in a group chat: Will we hit the team goal this month? Will the weekend trip happen? Aphma lets a group turn that conversation into a clear market, keep it private, and see where everyone stands.
Creating a market starts with one sentence. Aphma uses AI to turn it into a structured prediction, then you choose whether to share it publicly or with an invite-only circle. The goal is to make market creation feel closer to asking a question than configuring a trading product.
For anyone trying Aphma today, we’d especially love feedback on three things: Was the first market easy to understand? Which trust signals mattered most? Would you use private circles with friends or public markets more often? Honest criticism is very welcome.
Turning a simple sentence into a market makes prediction feel much more accessible. I upvoted the product, and the transparent resolution rules are important if you want users to trust the outcomes over time.
Thanks, Nick — really appreciate the support. Making prediction markets approachable without weakening trust is exactly what we’re aiming for. For predictions that start among friends or teammates, you can create a market from one sentence, set it as an invite-only private circle, and share it only with your group. We’re also working to make resolution rules and data sources clearer before anyone joins. We’d love your feedback on whether the private-circle and invite flow feels intuitive.