Hey Product Hunt! Maker here. Everyone predicts the future of AI. Almost nobody goes back to check who was right. So I built the scoreboard. The AI Prediction Index tracks 1,033 falsifiable, on-the-record claims about AI: AGI timelines, self-driving promises, jobs forecasts, price targets, data center buildouts. Every entry has the exact quote, a primary source, and a deadline with a live countdown. When time runs out, it gets scored. What the data shows so far: researchers and Wall Street analysts lead at 59 percent of resolved calls. Self-described thought leaders sit at 30 percent. This weekend Dan Ives' famous $600 Tesla target hit its deadline 38 percent short, so the board never sits still. Under the hood: an LLM research pipeline finds and drafts candidate entries, and an adversarial verifier has to confirm the exact quote and a primary source before anything publishes. Every verdict shows its reasoning, and there's a submit page for disputes and new predictions because I want to be checked too. The whole dataset is free JSON: aipredictionindex.com/data/predictions.json Would love to hear which prediction you think ages worst. There's a countdown for almost all of them.

AI Prediction Index

The public scoreboard for AI predictions

The public scoreboard for AI predictions