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ZRG Mineral
AI-powered intelligence for critical mineral supply chains.
16 followers
AI-powered intelligence for critical mineral supply chains.
16 followers
ZRG Mineral: Early warning system for critical industrial minerals — € exposure, material risk and predictive alerts up to 8 weeks before the market. Portfolio risk analysis for European procurement teams.
Hey everyone 👋
We built ZRG Mineral because procurement teams still rely on Excel spreadsheets and reactive compliance tools to manage critical raw material risk.
We didn't want another dashboard that shows problems after the fact. We wanted Palantir-style logic for procurement — turning complex supply chain data into actionable simulations, not more charts.
Our goal: help teams understand risks like gallium export controls before suppliers fail — with predictive alerts (6–8 weeks ahead), an intelligence graph, and a substitution engine that suggests structural alternatives, not just flags.
What we've learned: procurement leaders don't need more data. They need decision-ready scenarios they can take into a planning meeting on Monday morning.
Would love your feedback — especially on how we can reduce compliance stress for sourcing teams without adding another tool to the pile.
Curious how you source the data for those 8-week predictive alerts, is it mostly public trade flows and price feeds, or do you have proprietary supplier-side signals that give you the early edge?
@tkferhat9483 Great question, Ferhat — transparency matters here.
The 8-week predictive alerts are not based on proprietary supplier-side signals we collect from the market. They come from public early indicators: export licence announcements (MOFCOM/GACC), customs/trade policy news, government production updates (e.g. Cochilco), and regulatory signals — ingested via curated feeds + live news/RSS/GDELT, then mapped to materials.
We calibrate lag models per indicator (how many weeks before spot prices or lead times typically move — see our methodology page). When you upload your portfolio, we cross those signals with your supplier/material exposure — that's where the personalised alert comes from.
So: public leading indicators + your portfolio data. No secret supplier network. Happy to go deeper on any specific material.
Being able to see price exposure on specific minerals before they spike would have saved my team a real headache last quarter, so this is genuinely useful. The 8 week lead time sounds ambitious though, curious how reliable those signals actually turn out to be.
@smetnbbf Hey Ismet, fair question — and honestly one we got from our first interactions with procurement leaders .
To be straight: 6–8 weeks is the upper range. For gallium specifically, historical calibration puts the average closer to ~3 weeks. Not every signal, not every time.
What we actually do: track leading indicators (MOFCOM export licence batches, customs/port data, MIIT quota changes) and map them to material-specific lag patterns.
Each alert comes with a confidence score — we only surface it when multiple indicators align, not on a single headline.
The goal isn't "we predict the future." It's giving your team enough runway to act.
However we want to start with Pilot customers which can improve the Terminal with us for free.
Tested the dashboard with a couple of our sourcing scenarios and the 8 week alert actually flagged a magnesium oxide supply squeeze we hadn't caught. Pricing view is clean, though the currency exposure breakdown took a minute to find.
@fatmanurhuer Thanks for testing! Flagging that magnesium oxide squeeze is exactly why we built this—to move you out of reactive mode. Good catch on the currency exposure view; it’s a UI polish we’re pushing next week to make it more intuitive. Stay tuned for that update.
The 8-week lead time on alerts is honestly impressive, feels like a real edge for anyone juggling mineral supply contracts. Liked how the portfolio view breaks down exposure in a way that's actually useful during planning meetings.
@toprakkokf Glad the portfolio view is hitting the mark for your planning meetings. That’s the goal: moving procurement from manual Excel-juggling to actual strategic decision-making. We're working on sharpening those signals even further to keep that edge.
Spent a few minutes poking around the dashboard and the 8-week early signal for cobalt really stood out — feels genuinely useful for our procurement planning rather than just another price tracker.
@hlyakapancnlzt Thanks! Seeing that 8-week early signal resonate for cobalt is a great validation for us. We’re aiming to cut through the noise of standard price trackers and focus entirely on actionable risk intelligence. Happy to hear it’s proving useful in your workflow
Tried the demo and the 8-week predictive alerts actually flagged a magnesium price move that showed up in my inbox a week later, which was a nice surprise. The portfolio exposure view is clean and easy to read.
@ecrinzz3u Thanks, Ecrin. That’s exactly what we’re building for: early indicators before the spot market moves, not another price ticker. Glad the exposure view reads cleanly for you too.