Hey Product Hunt 👋 I'm David, cofounder behind DumbMoneyPicks. Most sports betting apps focus on picks. I wanted to build something different — a research tool that helps bettors understand *why* a player prop might have an edge. The idea started after noticing that many bettors chase win rate instead of expected value. But sportsbooks already bake a margin into their lines, so long-term profit depends on identifying mispriced probabilities. DumbMoneyPicks analyzes player props using several signals: • expected value (EV) across sportsbooks • line movement and market pressure • injury-driven role redistribution • AI summaries of betting signals One concept I’ve been exploring recently is the **NBA Archetype Framework** — instead of analyzing players by position, it models how stats redistribute across roles when injuries occur. For example, when a primary ball handler is out, assists often shift toward combo guards rather than simply the next player in the rotation. The goal of the app is to make these kinds of insights easier to analyze quickly. Would love feedback from anyone interested in sports analytics, betting markets, or data-driven decision making. Thanks for checking it out!

DumbMoneyPicks

Research player props like a sharp bettor

Research player props like a sharp bettor